Roma
v
Atalanta

Serie A · Sat 5 Sep · 20:45 · Referee: Andrea Colombo

Head-to-head — last 5 at Roma (home)

W 2026-09-05 Roma 2–1 Atalanta
D 2026-04-18 Roma 1–1 Atalanta
L 2024-12-02 Roma 0–2 Atalanta
D 2024-01-07 Roma 1–1 Atalanta
L 2022-09-18 Roma 0–1 Atalanta
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.28 → Atalanta (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HSassuolo
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AUdinese
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
HCagliari
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ANapoli
D
3–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HGenoa
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
AComo
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HInter
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
ALecce
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
2–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AVerona
W
2–0
6–6
1–3
0–1
2026-05-17
HLazio
W
2–0
8–3
2–3
1–1
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AMonza
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HParma
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-29
AFiorentina
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HFrosinone
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AMilan
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
HVenezia
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HCagliari
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HCagliari
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ARoma
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HBologna
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HSassuolo
W
2–1
4–4
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HSassuolo
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-22
AFiorentina
D
1–1
3–3
2–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBologna
L
0–1
2–5
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-05
HAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-18
HAtalanta
D
1–1
7–6
1–2
0–0
2026-01-03
AAtalanta
L
0–1
5–7
2–1
0–0
2025-05-12
AAtalanta
L
1–2
7–8
0–1
0–0
2024-12-02
HAtalanta
L
0–2
2–4
2–3
0–0
2024-05-12
AAtalanta
L
1–2
1–6
1–1
0–0
2024-01-07
HAtalanta
D
1–1
6–5
1–6
0–0
2023-04-24
AAtalanta
L
1–3
4–3
1–3
0–0
2022-09-18
HAtalanta
L
0–1
5–1
0–7
0–0
2022-03-05
HAtalanta
W
1–0
6–3
6–4
1–1
2021-12-18
AAtalanta
W
4–1
0–10
3–1
0–0
2021-04-22
HAtalanta
D
1–1
4–8
4–2
1–1
2020-12-20
AAtalanta
L
1–4
2–2
3–2
0–0
2020-02-15
AAtalanta
L
1–2
2–5
5–1
0–0
2019-09-25
HAtalanta
L
0–2
5–1
2–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Roma
Atalanta
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.1
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
0.4
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Roma
Atalanta
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.3
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
0.9
1.2
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Roma
66%
X · Draw
21%
2 · Atalanta
13%
Roma at home
Expected goals: 2.3
Conceded goals: 0.43
Atalanta away
Expected goals: 1.55
Conceded goals: 1.22
Projected for this match: Roma 1.92 — 1.06 Atalanta
Expected goals: Roma 1.92 — 1.06 Atalanta

Likely scores

1-110.7%
2-19.9%
1-09.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
BTTS56.2%

Corners (90 min)

Roma4.4
Atalanta4.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Roma1.4
Atalanta1.8
1H total1
2H total2.2

Second half

Roma
42%
Level
35%
Atalanta
23%
Expected 2H goals Roma 0.98 — 0.65 Atalanta

2H corners split

Expected total4.6
Roma2.3
Atalanta2.3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.2
Roma0.9
Atalanta1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Roma
38%
1H · Draw
43%
1H · Atalanta
19%
Expected 1H goals Roma 0.72 — 0.44 Atalanta · Over 0.5: Over (69%) · Over 1.5: Under (32%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.3
Roma2.1
Atalanta2.2
O/U 4.5Under · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1
Roma0.4
Atalanta0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total2.2
Roma 2H0.9
Atalanta 2H1.2
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Mario Hermoso (0.29 xG) is Roma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Berat Djimsiti (0.17 xG) is Atalanta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Roma · 8 listed

Wesleysuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Neil El Aynaouidoubt
1 · Ankle
Gianluca Mancinidoubt
1 · Thigh
Paulo Dybalainjury
1 · Calf
Devyne Renschdoubt
1 · Thigh
Pierluigi Gollinidoubt
1 · Low back
Lorenzo Pellegriniinjury
1 · Thigh
Mile Svilardoubt
1 · Foot

Atalanta · 5 listed

Gianluca Gaetanodoubt
1 · Groin
Raoul Bellanovadoubt
1 · Thigh
Giacomo Raspadoridoubt
1 · Thigh
Odilon Kossounoudoubt
1 · Thigh
Isak Hieninjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Roma vs Atalanta (Serie A). Model call: Roma to win match full time (66% / 21% / 13%).

Roma holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Roma 1.92 — 1.06 Atalanta. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Atalanta. Roma home form +1.87; Atalanta away form +0.32.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Lorenzo Pellegrini, Roma's full-time chance creation is trimmed.