Roma
v
Atalanta

Serie A · Sat 5 Sep · 20:45 · Referee: Andrea Colombo

Head-to-head — last 5 at Roma (home)

D 2026-04-18 Roma 1–1 Atalanta
L 2024-12-02 Roma 0–2 Atalanta
D 2024-01-07 Roma 1–1 Atalanta
L 2022-09-18 Roma 0–1 Atalanta
W 2022-03-05 Roma 1–0 Atalanta
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.28 → Atalanta (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
2–3
2–2
0–0
2026-05-24
AVerona
W
2–0
6–6
1–3
0–1
2026-05-17
HLazio
W
2–0
8–3
2–3
1–1
2026-05-10
AParma
W
3–2
6–3
0–4
0–1
2026-05-04
HFiorentina
W
4–0
4–5
2–2
0–0
2026-04-25
ABologna
W
2–0
7–7
3–0
0–0
2026-04-18
HAtalanta
D
1–1
7–6
1–2
0–0
2026-04-10
HPisa
W
3–0
1–3
1–1
0–0
2026-04-05
AInter
L
2–5
4–7
1–0
0–0
2026-03-22
HLecce
W
1–0
10–2
2–2
0–0
2026-03-15
AComo
L
1–2
1–7
3–2
1–0
2026-03-08
AGenoa
L
1–2
6–3
3–1
0–0
2026-03-01
HJuventus
D
3–3
4–1
1–0
0–0
2026-02-22
HCremonese
W
3–0
9–1
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
HCagliari
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HSassuolo
W
2–1
4–4
0–0
0–0
2026-05-22
AFiorentina
D
1–1
3–3
2–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBologna
L
0–1
2–5
1–1
0–0
2026-05-10
AMilan
W
3–2
2–2
3–3
0–0
2026-05-02
HGenoa
D
0–0
6–2
2–1
0–0
2026-04-27
ACagliari
L
2–3
6–4
0–0
0–0
2026-04-18
ARoma
D
1–1
6–7
2–1
0–0
2026-04-11
HJuventus
L
0–1
13–2
1–3
0–0
2026-04-06
ALecce
W
3–0
5–2
2–0
0–0
2026-03-22
HVerona
W
1–0
2–4
1–3
0–0
2026-03-14
AInter
D
1–1
3–2
2–2
0–0
2026-03-07
HUdinese
D
2–2
11–3
1–2
0–0
2026-03-01
ASassuolo
L
1–2
9–3
2–2
0–1
2026-02-22
HNapoli
W
2–1
6–1
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-04-18
HAtalanta
D
1–1
7–6
1–2
0–0
2026-01-03
AAtalanta
L
0–1
5–7
2–1
0–0
2025-05-12
AAtalanta
L
1–2
7–8
0–1
0–0
2024-12-02
HAtalanta
L
0–2
2–4
2–3
0–0
2024-05-12
AAtalanta
L
1–2
1–6
1–1
0–0
2024-01-07
HAtalanta
D
1–1
6–5
1–6
0–0
2023-04-24
AAtalanta
L
1–3
4–3
1–3
0–0
2022-09-18
HAtalanta
L
0–1
5–1
0–7
0–0
2022-03-05
HAtalanta
W
1–0
6–3
6–4
1–1
2021-12-18
AAtalanta
W
4–1
0–10
3–1
0–0
2021-04-22
HAtalanta
D
1–1
4–8
4–2
1–1
2020-12-20
AAtalanta
L
1–4
2–2
3–2
0–0
2020-02-15
AAtalanta
L
1–2
2–5
5–1
0–0
2019-09-25
HAtalanta
L
0–2
5–1
2–1
0–0
2019-01-27
AAtalanta
D
3–3
2–9
3–0
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Roma
Atalanta
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.1
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
0.4
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Roma
Atalanta
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.3
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
0.9
1.2
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Roma
68%
X · Draw
20%
2 · Atalanta
12%
Roma at home
Expected goals: 2.3
Conceded goals: 0.43
Atalanta away
Expected goals: 1.55
Conceded goals: 1.22
Projected for this match: Roma 2 — 1.06 Atalanta
Expected goals: Roma 2 — 1.06 Atalanta

Likely scores

1-110.2%
2-19.9%
2-09.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559%
Over 3.536.6%
BTTS56.8%

Corners (90 min)

Roma4.4
Atalanta4.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Roma1.4
Atalanta1.8
1H total1
2H total2.2

Second half

Roma
42%
Level
35%
Atalanta
23%
Expected 2H goals Roma 0.98 — 0.65 Atalanta

2H corners split

Expected total4.6
Roma2.3
Atalanta2.3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.2
Roma0.9
Atalanta1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Roma
38%
1H · Draw
43%
1H · Atalanta
19%
Expected 1H goals Roma 0.72 — 0.44 Atalanta · Over 0.5: Over (69%) · Over 1.5: Under (32%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.3
Roma2.1
Atalanta2.2
O/U 4.5Under · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1
Roma0.4
Atalanta0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total2.2
Roma 2H0.9
Atalanta 2H1.2
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Mario Hermoso (0.29 xG) is Roma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Berat Djimsiti (0.17 xG) is Atalanta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Roma · 2 listed

Wesleysuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Jan Ziolkowskiinjury
1 · Foot

Atalanta · 3 listed

Gianluca Gaetanosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Isak Hieninjury
1 · Thigh
Kamaldeen Sulemanainjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Roma vs Atalanta (Serie A). Model call: Roma to win match full time (68% / 20% / 12%).

Roma holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Roma 2 — 1.06 Atalanta. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Atalanta. Roma home form +1.87; Atalanta away form +0.32.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Gianluca Gaetano, Atalanta's full-time chance creation is trimmed.