Monza
v
Atalanta

Serie A · Sun 8 Nov · 16:00 · Referee: Claudio Allegretta

Head-to-head — last 4 at Monza (home)

L 2026-11-08 Monza 0–1 Atalanta
L 2025-05-04 Monza 0–4 Atalanta
L 2024-04-21 Monza 1–2 Atalanta
L 2022-09-05 Monza 0–2 Atalanta
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.35 → Atalanta (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAtalanta
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HNapoli
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
ATorino
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HCagliari
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ALazio
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HSassuolo
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AParma
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
3–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-05-24
AMilan
L
0–2
6–4
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AMonza
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HParma
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-29
AFiorentina
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HFrosinone
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AMilan
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
HVenezia
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HCagliari
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HCagliari
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ARoma
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HBologna
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HSassuolo
W
2–1
4–4
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HSassuolo
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-22
AFiorentina
D
1–1
3–3
2–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBologna
L
0–1
2–5
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAtalanta
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-05-04
HAtalanta
L
0–4
3–7
1–2
0–0
2024-10-30
AAtalanta
L
0–2
1–5
3–2
0–0
2024-04-21
HAtalanta
L
1–2
2–8
3–2
0–0
2023-09-02
AAtalanta
L
0–3
3–7
3–0
0–0
2023-06-04
AAtalanta
L
2–5
1–5
2–1
1–0
2022-09-05
HAtalanta
L
0–2
4–9
1–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Monza
Atalanta
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.7
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Monza
Atalanta
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.8
2.5
Yellow cards (est.)
1.0
1.1
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Monza
12%
X · Draw
20%
2 · Atalanta
68%
Monza at home
Expected goals: 0.6
Conceded goals: 1.9
Atalanta away
Expected goals: 1.55
Conceded goals: 1.22
Projected for this match: Monza 0.88 — 1.86 Atalanta
Expected goals: Monza 0.88 — 1.86 Atalanta

Likely scores

0-111.7%
0-211.2%
1-110.9%

Goals markets

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
BTTS49.7%

Corners (90 min)

Monza3.5
Atalanta4.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Monza1.5
Atalanta1.6
1H total1
2H total2.1

Second half

Monza
13%
Level
31%
Atalanta
56%
Expected 2H goals Monza 0.43 — 1.21 Atalanta

2H corners split

Expected total4.4
Monza1.8
Atalanta2.5

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.1
Monza1
Atalanta1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Monza
18%
1H · Draw
44%
1H · Atalanta
38%
Expected 1H goals Monza 0.4 — 0.69 Atalanta · Over 0.5: Over (66%) · Over 1.5: Under (30%)

1H corners split

Expected total4
Monza1.7
Atalanta2.3
O/U 3.5Over · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1
Monza0.5
Atalanta0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total2.1
Monza 2H1
Atalanta 2H1.1

Berat Djimsiti (0.17 xG) is Atalanta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Monza · 2 listed

Ivan Juricsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Samuele Birindellidoubt
1 · Lower leg

Atalanta · 5 listed

Gianluca Gaetanodoubt
1 · Groin
Raoul Bellanovadoubt
1 · Thigh
Giacomo Raspadoridoubt
1 · Thigh
Odilon Kossounoudoubt
1 · Thigh
Isak Hieninjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Monza vs Atalanta (Serie A). Model call: Atalanta to win match full time (12% / 20% / 68%).

Atalanta holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Monza 0.88 — 1.86 Atalanta. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Atalanta. Monza home form -1.3; Atalanta away form +0.32.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Ivan Juric, Monza's full-time chance creation is trimmed.