Premier League · Sat 19 Sep · 13:30 · Referee: Sam Barrott
Head-to-head — last 5 at Tottenham (home)
L2026-09-19Tottenham 2–3 Aston Villa
L2025-10-19Tottenham 1–2 Aston Villa
W2024-11-03Tottenham 4–1 Aston Villa
L2023-11-26Tottenham 1–2 Aston Villa
L2023-01-01Tottenham 0–2 Aston Villa
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Tottenham (5 meetings on file)
Last Matches
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ALeeds
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HCrystal Palace
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AChelsea
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HCoventry
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AMan United
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HAston Villa
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HEverton
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HEverton
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ANott'm Forest
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNewcastle
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNewcastle
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ABrentford
L
0–3
3–7
1–1
0–0
2026-08-22
ABrentford
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HEverton
W
1–0
6–2
5–3
0–1
2026-05-19
AChelsea
L
1–2
4–3
3–4
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AMan United
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HMan City
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ANewcastle
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ATottenham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HNott'm Forest
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HNott'm Forest
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AHull
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ABrighton
L
0–4
2–5
3–2
1–0
2026-08-23
ABrighton
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AMan City
W
2–1
4–9
0–1
0–0
2026-05-15
HLiverpool
W
4–2
4–9
3–1
0–0
2026-05-10
ABurnley
D
2–2
8–2
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-19
HAston Villa
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-03
AAston Villa
W
2–1
5–5
5–2
0–0
2025-10-19
HAston Villa
L
1–2
6–6
2–0
0–0
2025-05-16
AAston Villa
L
0–2
1–9
2–1
0–0
2024-11-03
HAston Villa
W
4–1
6–4
2–0
0–0
2024-03-10
AAston Villa
W
4–0
4–6
2–0
0–1
2023-11-26
HAston Villa
L
1–2
9–3
0–4
0–0
2023-05-13
AAston Villa
L
1–2
3–8
3–3
0–0
2023-01-01
HAston Villa
L
0–2
5–3
4–3
0–0
2022-04-09
AAston Villa
W
4–0
3–9
3–2
0–0
2021-10-03
HAston Villa
W
2–1
5–8
2–1
0–0
2021-05-19
HAston Villa
L
1–2
4–5
1–1
0–0
2021-03-21
AAston Villa
W
2–0
8–5
2–3
0–0
2020-02-16
AAston Villa
W
3–2
7–12
0–2
0–0
2019-08-10
HAston Villa
W
3–1
14–0
1–0
0–0
Venue tag: H = home, A = away.
Period stats — 1H / 2H
First half lean: Tottenham — higher 1H xG, shots and corners
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Possession %
54
52
xG
0.78
0.37
Shots
7.0
4.2
On target
1.5
1.2
Off target
2.9
1.9
Corners
4.4
2.4
Yellow cards
0.8
0.3
Red cards
0.1
0.0
Second half lean: Aston Villa — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Possession %
48
60
xG
0.68
1.19
Shots
7.2
8.1
On target
2.2
3.4
Off target
2.4
2.8
Corners
4.3
2.8
Yellow cards
2.0
1.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Full-time call
NO BET
1 · Tottenham
38%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Aston Villa
32%
Tottenham at home
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.77
Aston Villa away
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.77
Projected for this match: Tottenham 1.3 — 1.46 Aston Villa
Expected goals: Tottenham 1.3 — 1.46 Aston Villa
Likely scores
1-112.4%
0-18.8%
1-28.8%
Goals markets
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS56.3%
Corners (90 min)
Tottenham5.7
Aston Villa4.5
Yellow cards (90 min)
Tottenham2.5
Aston Villa1.9
1H total1.2
2H total3.2
Barrott averages 3.9 yellows a match, around the usual full-time card pace.
Second half
Tottenham
24%
Level
37%
Aston Villa
39%
Expected 2H goals Tottenham 0.62 — 0.89 Aston Villa
2H corners
Expected total4.9
Tottenham2.5
Aston Villa2.4
2H yellow cards
Expected total3.2
Tottenham1.8
Aston Villa1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.1
First half
No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Tottenham
34%
1H · Draw
38%
1H · Aston Villa
28%
Expected 1H goals Tottenham 0.79 — 0.68 Aston Villa · Over 0.5: Over (77%)
· Over 1.5: Under (43%)
1H corners
Expected total5.2
Tottenham3.1
Aston Villa2.1
O/U 5.5Under · 58%
1H yellow cards
Expected total1.2
Tottenham0.7
Aston Villa0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total3.2
Tottenham 2H1.8
Aston Villa 2H1.4
Barrott averages 0.9 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Barrott averages 2.5 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.
Ben Davies (0.78 xG) is Tottenham's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Ollie Watkins (0.28 xG) is Aston Villa's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Squad availability
Tottenham · 6 listed
Mathys Teldoubt
1 · Muscle
Tosin Adarabioyodoubt
1 · Calf
Lucas Bergvalldoubt
1 · Knee
Wilson Odobertinjury
1 · Knee
Savioinjury
1 · Muscle
Xavi Simonsinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Aston Villa · 4 listed
Matty Cashsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Johan Manzambidoubt
1 · Calf
Matteo Ruggeriinjury
1 · Thigh
Amadou Onanainjury
1 · Knee
Match analysis
Tottenham vs Aston Villa (Premier League). Model call: Tottenham to win match full time (38% / 30% / 32%).
Aston Villa holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Tottenham 1.3 — 1.46 Aston Villa. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Tottenham. Tottenham home form -0.66; Aston Villa away form -0.66.
First-half lean: No bet. Without Savio, Tottenham's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Matteo Ruggeri, Aston Villa's full-time chance creation is trimmed.