Man United
v
Aston Villa

Premier League · Sun 8 Nov · 18:30 · Referee: Chris Kavanagh

Head-to-head — last 5 at Man United (home)

D 2026-11-08 Man United 4–4 Aston Villa
W 2026-03-15 Man United 3–1 Aston Villa
W 2025-05-25 Man United 2–0 Aston Villa
W 2023-12-26 Man United 3–2 Aston Villa
W 2023-04-30 Man United 1–0 Aston Villa
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Man United (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAston Villa
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AChelsea
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBournemouth
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HTottenham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AEverton
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AHull
L
0–2
6–1
1–2
0–0
2026-08-22
AHull
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ABrighton
W
3–0
3–0
1–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HNott'm Forest
W
3–2
7–6
2–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AMan United
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HMan City
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ANewcastle
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ATottenham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HNott'm Forest
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HNott'm Forest
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AHull
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ABrighton
L
0–4
2–5
3–2
1–0
2026-08-23
ABrighton
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AMan City
W
2–1
4–9
0–1
0–0
2026-05-15
HLiverpool
W
4–2
4–9
3–1
0–0
2026-05-10
ABurnley
D
2–2
8–2
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAston Villa
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-15
HAston Villa
W
3–1
6–6
3–2
0–0
2025-12-21
AAston Villa
L
1–2
5–5
2–1
0–0
2025-05-25
HAston Villa
W
2–0
4–3
2–2
0–1
2024-10-06
AAston Villa
D
0–0
3–6
5–1
0–0
2024-02-11
AAston Villa
W
2–1
8–10
2–3
0–0
2023-12-26
HAston Villa
W
3–2
3–6
1–3
0–0
2023-04-30
HAston Villa
W
1–0
1–4
2–0
0–0
2022-11-06
AAston Villa
L
1–3
5–3
3–3
0–0
2022-01-15
AAston Villa
D
2–2
6–3
2–1
0–0
2021-09-25
HAston Villa
L
0–1
5–5
2–2
0–0
2021-05-09
AAston Villa
W
3–1
6–5
1–1
0–1
2021-01-01
HAston Villa
W
2–1
5–10
4–0
0–0
2020-07-09
AAston Villa
W
3–0
5–3
3–2
0–0
2019-12-01
HAston Villa
D
2–2
9–9
4–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Man United — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Man United
Aston Villa
Possession %
48
52
xG
1.07
0.37
Shots
8.1
4.2
On target
3.0
1.2
Off target
2.6
1.9
Corners
3.0
2.4
Yellow cards
0.5
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Man United
Aston Villa
Possession %
45
60
xG
1.39
1.19
Shots
10.9
8.1
On target
4.3
3.4
Off target
3.1
2.8
Corners
3.1
2.8
Yellow cards
1.7
1.0
Red cards
0.1
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Man United
62%
X · Draw
23%
2 · Aston Villa
15%
Man United at home
Expected goals: 2.21
Conceded goals: 1.33
Aston Villa away
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.77
Projected for this match: Man United 1.7 — 1.26 Aston Villa
Expected goals: Man United 1.7 — 1.26 Aston Villa

Likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.4%
1-08.5%

Goals markets

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS58.8%

Corners (90 min)

Man United5.4
Aston Villa4.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Man United2
Aston Villa1.6
1H total0.9
2H total2.7
Kavanagh averages 3.5 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Man United
33%
Level
35%
Aston Villa
32%
Expected 2H goals Man United 0.84 — 0.84 Aston Villa

2H corners

Expected total5.2
Man United2.7
Aston Villa2.4

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.7
Man United1.5
Aston Villa1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Man United
45%
1H · Draw
37%
1H · Aston Villa
18%
Expected 1H goals Man United 0.95 — 0.48 Aston Villa · Over 0.5: Over (76%) · Over 1.5: Under (42%)

1H corners

Expected total4.8
Man United2.7
Aston Villa2.1
O/U 4.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards

Expected total0.9
Man United0.5
Aston Villa0.4
O/U 1.5Under · 77%
2H expected total2.7
Man United 2H1.5
Aston Villa 2H1.2
Kavanagh averages 1.4 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Kavanagh averages 2.9 yellows and 0.2 reds after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Without Benjamin Sesko (0.28 xG), Man United's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Ollie Watkins (0.28 xG) is Aston Villa's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Man United · 6 listed

Lisandro Martinezsuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Harry Maguiredoubt
1 · Low back
Marcus Rashforddoubt
1 · Groin
Benjamin Seskoinjury
1 · Calf
Luke Shawinjury
1 · Other
Manuel Ugarteinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Aston Villa · 4 listed

Matty Cashsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Johan Manzambidoubt
1 · Calf
Matteo Ruggeriinjury
1 · Thigh
Amadou Onanainjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Man United vs Aston Villa (Premier League). Model call: Man United to win match full time (62% / 23% / 15%).

Man United holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Man United 1.7 — 1.26 Aston Villa. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Man United. Man United home form +0.88; Aston Villa away form -0.66.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Manuel Ugarte, Man United's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Matteo Ruggeri, Aston Villa's full-time chance creation is trimmed.