Hull
v
Aston Villa

Premier League · Sat 5 Sep · 18:30 · Referee: Michael Oliver

Head-to-head — last 2 at Hull (home)

W 2015-02-10 Hull 2–0 Aston Villa
D 2013-10-05 Hull 0–0 Aston Villa
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Aston Villa (4 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
AChelsea
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ACoventry
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HMan United
W
2–0
1–6
2–1
0–0
2017-05-21
HTottenham
L
1–7
2–3
0–0
0–0
2017-05-14
ACrystal Palace
L
0–4
7–3
5–3
0–0
2017-05-06
HSunderland
L
0–2
7–4
3–1
0–0
2017-04-29
ASouthampton
D
0–0
6–6
3–0
0–0
2017-04-22
HWatford
W
2–0
4–7
3–1
1–0
2017-04-15
AStoke
L
1–3
7–3
2–0
0–0
2017-04-08
AMan City
L
1–3
3–7
2–0
0–0
2017-04-05
HMiddlesbrough
W
4–2
8–4
2–1
0–0
2017-04-01
HWest Ham
W
2–1
5–5
2–2
0–0
2017-03-18
AEverton
L
0–4
8–5
0–2
1–0
2017-03-11
HSwansea
W
2–1
2–7
3–1
0–0
2017-03-04
ALeicester
L
1–3
4–10
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
HNott'm Forest
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ABrighton
L
0–4
2–5
3–2
1–0
2026-05-24
AMan City
W
2–1
4–9
0–1
0–0
2026-05-15
HLiverpool
W
4–2
4–9
3–1
0–0
2026-05-10
ABurnley
D
2–2
8–2
1–1
0–0
2026-05-03
HTottenham
L
1–2
5–5
2–5
0–0
2026-04-25
AFulham
L
0–1
5–2
2–2
0–0
2026-04-19
HSunderland
W
4–3
4–5
1–3
0–0
2026-04-12
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
3–7
2–2
0–0
2026-03-22
HWest Ham
W
2–0
6–6
0–1
0–0
2026-03-15
AMan United
L
1–3
6–6
2–3
0–0
2026-03-04
HChelsea
L
1–4
3–8
3–2
0–0
2026-02-27
AWolves
L
0–2
5–0
3–3
0–0
2026-02-21
HLeeds
D
1–1
7–2
1–4
0–0
2026-02-11
HBrighton
W
1–0
7–5
2–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2015-02-10
HAston Villa
W
2–0
3–7
1–2
0–0
2014-08-31
AAston Villa
L
1–2
7–3
4–1
0–0
2014-05-03
AAston Villa
L
1–3
5–8
0–0
0–0
2013-10-05
HAston Villa
D
0–0
7–7
2–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Hull
Aston Villa
Possession %
—
52
xG
—
0.37
Shots
—
4.2
On target
—
1.2
Off target
—
1.9
Corners (est.)
2.4
2.4
Yellow cards (est.)
0.7
0.3
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Hull
Aston Villa
Possession %
—
60
xG
—
1.19
Shots
—
8.1
On target
—
3.4
Off target
—
2.8
Corners (est.)
2.6
2.8
Yellow cards (est.)
1.5
1.0
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Hull
46%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Aston Villa
26%
Hull at home
Expected goals: 1.65
Conceded goals: 1.82
Aston Villa away
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.77
Projected for this match: Hull 1.6 — 1.42 Aston Villa
Expected goals: Hull 1.6 — 1.42 Aston Villa

Likely scores

1-111.4%
2-18.9%
1-27.9%

Goals markets

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS60.8%

Corners (90 min)

Hull5.1
Aston Villa5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Hull2.1
Aston Villa1.3
1H total1.1
2H total2.4
Oliver averages 3.3 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Hull
21%
Level
32%
Aston Villa
47%
Expected 2H goals Hull 0.68 — 1.16 Aston Villa

2H corners split

Expected total5.2
Hull2.6
Aston Villa2.6

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.4
Hull1.5
Aston Villa0.9
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Hull
35%
1H · Draw
37%
1H · Aston Villa
28%
Expected 1H goals Hull 0.8 — 0.7 Aston Villa · Over 0.5: Over (78%) · Over 1.5: Under (44%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.8
Hull2.4
Aston Villa2.4
O/U 4.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Hull0.7
Aston Villa0.4
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.4
Hull 2H1.5
Aston Villa 2H0.9
Oliver averages 0.8 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Oliver averages 2.9 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Ollie Watkins (0.28 xG) is Aston Villa's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Hull · 6 listed

Nobel Mendydoubt
1 · Other
Hidemasa Moritadoubt
1 · Groin
Charlie Hughesinjury
1 · Groin
Darko Gyabiinjury
1 · Thigh
Jack Butlandinjury
1 · Elbow
Eliot Matazoinjury
1 · Knee

Aston Villa · 5 listed

Joao Gomessuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Pau Torresdoubt
1 · Other
Brian Madjodoubt
1 · Ankle
Leon Goretzkainjury
1 · Knee
Amadou Onanainjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Hull vs Aston Villa (Premier League). Model call: Hull to win match full time (46% / 28% / 26%).

Aston Villa holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Hull 1.6 — 1.42 Aston Villa. H2H (4 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Aston Villa. Hull home form -0.17; Aston Villa away form -0.66.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Darko Gyabi, Hull's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Joao Gomes, Aston Villa's full-time chance creation is trimmed.