Nott'm Forest
v
Arsenal

Premier League · Sun 18 Oct · 17:30 · Referee: Michael Oliver

Head-to-head — last 5 at Nott'm Forest (home)

L 2026-10-18 Nott'm Forest 0–1 Arsenal
D 2026-01-17 Nott'm Forest 0–0 Arsenal
D 2025-02-26 Nott'm Forest 0–0 Arsenal
L 2024-01-30 Nott'm Forest 1–2 Arsenal
W 2023-05-20 Nott'm Forest 1–0 Arsenal
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.21 → Arsenal (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HMan City
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABrentford
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
AIpswich
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ACrystal Palace
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HCoventry
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAston Villa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAston Villa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HTottenham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ALiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ALiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HLeeds
L
0–1
3–2
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HLeeds
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HBournemouth
D
1–1
6–3
1–1
0–0
2026-05-17
AMan United
L
2–3
6–7
1–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HHull
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALiverpool
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HEverton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HLeeds
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ABrighton
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HChelsea
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
AAston Villa
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-21
HCoventry
W
3–0
8–2
1–1
0–0
2026-08-21
HCoventry
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ACrystal Palace
W
2–1
4–3
1–0
0–0
2026-05-18
HBurnley
W
1–0
3–3
1–3
0–0
2026-05-10
AWest Ham
W
1–0
3–4
4–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-18
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-01-17
HArsenal
D
0–0
4–9
1–1
0–0
2025-09-13
AArsenal
L
0–3
4–8
1–1
0–0
2025-02-26
HArsenal
D
0–0
3–11
1–1
0–0
2024-11-23
AArsenal
L
0–3
1–8
2–3
0–0
2024-01-30
HArsenal
L
1–2
2–11
0–1
0–0
2023-08-12
AArsenal
L
1–2
3–8
2–2
0–0
2023-05-20
HArsenal
W
1–0
3–6
3–2
0–0
2022-10-30
AArsenal
L
0–5
4–9
1–0
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Arsenal — higher 1H xG and possession
Nott'm Forest
Arsenal
Possession %
49
57
xG
0.60
1.00
Shots
6.8
6.3
On target
2.4
2.4
Off target
1.9
1.6
Corners
2.8
2.1
Yellow cards
0.3
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Arsenal — higher 2H xG and possession
Nott'm Forest
Arsenal
Possession %
42
52
xG
0.91
1.26
Shots
8.0
7.0
On target
2.0
2.3
Off target
3.3
2.7
Corners
2.0
2.3
Yellow cards
0.9
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Nott'm Forest
14%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Arsenal
59%
Nott'm Forest at home
Expected goals: 0.95
Conceded goals: 0.99
Arsenal away
Expected goals: 1.68
Conceded goals: 0.87
Projected for this match: Nott'm Forest 0.87 — 1.67 Arsenal
Expected goals: Nott'm Forest 0.87 — 1.67 Arsenal

Likely scores

0-112.8%
1-111.8%
0-211%

Goals markets

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS47.7%

Corners (90 min)

Nott'm Forest4
Arsenal5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Nott'm Forest1.7
Arsenal1.4
1H total1
2H total2.1
Oliver averages 3.3 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Nott'm Forest
28%
Level
39%
Arsenal
33%
Expected 2H goals Nott'm Forest 0.64 — 0.72 Arsenal

2H corners

Expected total5.2
Nott'm Forest2
Arsenal3.1

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.1
Nott'm Forest1.2
Arsenal0.9

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Nott'm Forest
20%
1H · Draw
41%
1H · Arsenal
39%
Expected 1H goals Nott'm Forest 0.46 — 0.76 Arsenal · Over 0.5: Over (71%) · Over 1.5: Under (35%)

1H corners

Expected total3.8
Nott'm Forest1.9
Arsenal1.9
O/U 3.5Over · 53%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1
Nott'm Forest0.5
Arsenal0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total2.1
Nott'm Forest 2H1.2
Arsenal 2H0.9
Oliver averages 0.8 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Oliver averages 2.9 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Lorenzo Lucca (0.19 xG) is Nott'm Forest's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Viktor Gyokeres (0.29 xG) is Arsenal's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Nott'm Forest · 2 listed

Nicolas Dominguezinjury
1 · Other
Nicolo Savonainjury
1 · Knee

Arsenal · 4 listed

Max Dowmansuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Ezri Konsadoubt
1 · Other
William Salibadoubt
1 · Low back
Bukayo Sakainjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Nott'm Forest vs Arsenal (Premier League). Model call: Arsenal to win match full time (14% / 27% / 59%).

Arsenal holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Nott'm Forest 0.87 — 1.67 Arsenal. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Arsenal. Nott'm Forest home form -0.04; Arsenal away form +0.81.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Nicolas Dominguez, Nott'm Forest's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Max Dowman, Arsenal's full-time chance creation is trimmed.