Brighton
v
Arsenal

Premier League · Sat 19 Sep · 16:00 · Referee: Darren England

Head-to-head — last 5 at Brighton (home)

W 2026-09-19 Brighton 3–0 Arsenal
L 2026-03-04 Brighton 0–1 Arsenal
D 2025-01-04 Brighton 1–1 Arsenal
L 2024-04-06 Brighton 0–3 Arsenal
L 2022-12-31 Brighton 2–4 Arsenal
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.21 → Arsenal (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HBrentford
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AMan City
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ALiverpool
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HCrystal Palace
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
ASunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HArsenal
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACoventry
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACoventry
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HLeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AChelsea
L
3–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AChelsea
L
3–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HAston Villa
W
4–0
5–2
2–3
0–1
2026-08-23
HAston Villa
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HMan United
L
0–3
0–3
0–1
0–0
2026-05-17
ALeeds
L
0–1
8–7
0–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HHull
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALiverpool
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HEverton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HLeeds
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ABrighton
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HChelsea
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
AAston Villa
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-21
HCoventry
W
3–0
8–2
1–1
0–0
2026-08-21
HCoventry
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ACrystal Palace
W
2–1
4–3
1–0
0–0
2026-05-18
HBurnley
W
1–0
3–3
1–3
0–0
2026-05-10
AWest Ham
W
1–0
3–4
4–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-19
HArsenal
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-04
HArsenal
L
0–1
4–3
4–1
0–0
2025-12-27
AArsenal
L
1–2
2–7
3–2
0–0
2025-01-04
HArsenal
D
1–1
2–5
2–3
0–0
2024-08-31
AArsenal
D
1–1
7–3
2–3
0–1
2024-04-06
HArsenal
L
0–3
8–7
1–2
0–0
2023-12-17
AArsenal
L
0–2
1–10
3–1
0–0
2023-05-14
AArsenal
W
3–0
2–5
2–1
0–0
2022-12-31
HArsenal
L
2–4
7–4
3–3
0–0
2022-04-09
AArsenal
W
2–1
2–11
4–3
0–0
2021-10-02
HArsenal
D
0–0
8–5
2–1
0–0
2021-05-23
AArsenal
L
0–2
3–11
0–0
0–0
2020-12-29
HArsenal
L
0–1
5–4
2–0
0–0
2020-06-20
HArsenal
W
2–1
10–7
2–1
0–0
2019-12-05
AArsenal
W
2–1
9–9
1–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Arsenal — higher 1H xG and SOT
Brighton
Arsenal
Possession %
59
57
xG
0.77
1.00
Shots
5.6
6.3
On target
1.7
2.4
Off target
2.5
1.6
Corners
2.0
2.1
Yellow cards
0.5
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Arsenal — higher 2H xG
Brighton
Arsenal
Possession %
56
52
xG
0.93
1.26
Shots
8.1
7.0
On target
2.9
2.3
Off target
2.6
2.7
Corners
2.3
2.3
Yellow cards
1.2
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Brighton
34%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Arsenal
37%
Brighton at home
Expected goals: 1.81
Conceded goals: 0.92
Arsenal away
Expected goals: 1.68
Conceded goals: 0.87
Projected for this match: Brighton 1.34 — 1.54 Arsenal
Expected goals: Brighton 1.34 — 1.54 Arsenal

Likely scores

1-111.9%
1-28.9%
0-18.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS58.3%

Corners (90 min)

Brighton4.2
Arsenal4.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Brighton1.7
Arsenal1.7
1H total1.1
2H total2.3
England averages 4.0 yellows a match, around the usual full-time card pace.

Second half

Brighton
23%
Level
45%
Arsenal
32%
Expected 2H goals Brighton 0.47 — 0.6 Arsenal

2H corners

Expected total5.3
Brighton2.4
Arsenal2.9

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.3
Brighton1.2
Arsenal1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Brighton
25%
1H · Draw
38%
1H · Arsenal
37%
Expected 1H goals Brighton 0.63 — 0.84 Arsenal · Over 0.5: Over (77%) · Over 1.5: Under (43%)

1H corners

Expected total3.9
Brighton1.8
Arsenal2.1
O/U 3.5Over · 55%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.1
Brighton0.5
Arsenal0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.3
Brighton 2H1.2
Arsenal 2H1.1
England averages 0.8 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
England averages 4.3 yellows and 0.2 reds after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Danny Welbeck (0.25 xG) is Brighton's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Viktor Gyokeres (0.29 xG) is Arsenal's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Brighton · 8 listed

Matias Orozcosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Pascal Struijkdoubt
1 · Thigh
Femi Azeezinjury
1 · Thigh
Zadok Yohannainjury
1 · Other
Kaoru Mitomainjury
1 · Hamstring
Stefanos Tzimasinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Evan Fergusoninjury
1 · Ankle
Carlos Balebainjury
1 · Thigh

Arsenal · 4 listed

Max Dowmansuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Ezri Konsadoubt
1 · Other
William Salibadoubt
1 · Low back
Bukayo Sakainjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Brighton vs Arsenal (Premier League). Model call: Arsenal to win match full time (34% / 29% / 37%).

Arsenal holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Brighton 1.34 — 1.54 Arsenal. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Arsenal. Brighton home form +0.89; Arsenal away form +0.81.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Matias Orozco, Brighton's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Max Dowman, Arsenal's full-time chance creation is trimmed.