Aston Villa
v
Arsenal

Premier League · Mon 31 Aug · 21:00 · Referee: Adrian Gillett

Head-to-head — last 5 at Aston Villa (home)

L 2026-08-31 Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal
W 2025-12-06 Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal
L 2024-08-24 Aston Villa 0–2 Arsenal
W 2023-12-09 Aston Villa 1–0 Arsenal
L 2023-02-18 Aston Villa 2–4 Arsenal
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Aston Villa (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AMan United
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HMan City
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ANewcastle
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ATottenham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HNott'm Forest
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HNott'm Forest
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AHull
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ABrighton
L
0–4
2–5
3–2
1–0
2026-08-23
ABrighton
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AMan City
W
2–1
4–9
0–1
0–0
2026-05-15
HLiverpool
W
4–2
4–9
3–1
0–0
2026-05-10
ABurnley
D
2–2
8–2
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HHull
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALiverpool
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HEverton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HLeeds
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ABrighton
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HChelsea
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
AAston Villa
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-21
HCoventry
W
3–0
8–2
1–1
0–0
2026-08-21
HCoventry
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ACrystal Palace
W
2–1
4–3
1–0
0–0
2026-05-18
HBurnley
W
1–0
3–3
1–3
0–0
2026-05-10
AWest Ham
W
1–0
3–4
4–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-31
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-12-30
AArsenal
L
1–4
3–3
3–2
0–0
2025-12-06
HArsenal
W
2–1
3–3
0–2
0–0
2025-01-18
AArsenal
D
2–2
1–10
3–2
0–0
2024-08-24
HArsenal
L
0–2
4–1
1–3
0–0
2024-04-14
AArsenal
W
2–0
6–4
1–3
0–0
2023-12-09
HArsenal
W
1–0
3–3
4–2
0–0
2023-02-18
HArsenal
L
2–4
2–9
2–1
0–0
2022-08-31
AArsenal
L
1–2
3–10
3–2
0–0
2022-03-19
HArsenal
L
0–1
6–5
3–3
0–0
2021-10-22
AArsenal
L
1–3
4–7
5–2
0–0
2021-02-06
HArsenal
W
1–0
3–7
3–2
0–0
2020-11-08
AArsenal
W
3–0
8–3
0–0
0–0
2020-07-21
HArsenal
W
1–0
8–9
2–4
0–0
2019-09-22
AArsenal
L
2–3
4–9
1–5
0–1

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Arsenal — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Possession %
47
57
xG
0.70
1.00
Shots
5.2
6.3
On target
2.0
2.4
Off target
1.6
1.6
Corners
1.8
2.1
Yellow cards
0.6
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Possession %
53
52
xG
1.25
1.26
Shots
8.0
7.0
On target
3.6
2.3
Off target
2.1
2.7
Corners
3.2
2.3
Yellow cards
1.1
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Aston Villa
14%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Arsenal
62%
Aston Villa at home
Expected goals: 1.91
Conceded goals: 1.43
Arsenal away
Expected goals: 1.68
Conceded goals: 0.87
Projected for this match: Aston Villa 0.97 — 2 Arsenal
Expected goals: Aston Villa 0.97 — 2 Arsenal

Likely scores

1-110.3%
0-210.2%
1-210%

Goals markets

Over 1.580%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS54.1%

Corners (90 min)

Aston Villa4.1
Arsenal5.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Aston Villa1.7
Arsenal1.7
1H total1.2
2H total2.3
Gillett averages 3.7 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Aston Villa
29%
Level
39%
Arsenal
32%
Expected 2H goals Aston Villa 0.67 — 0.74 Arsenal

2H corners

Expected total5.4
Aston Villa2.5
Arsenal2.9

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.3
Aston Villa1.1
Arsenal1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Aston Villa
12%
1H · Draw
33%
1H · Arsenal
55%
Expected 1H goals Aston Villa 0.36 — 1.12 Arsenal · Over 0.5: Over (77%) · Over 1.5: Under (44%)

1H corners

Expected total4.1
Aston Villa1.7
Arsenal2.5
O/U 3.5Over · 59%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.2
Aston Villa0.6
Arsenal0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.3
Aston Villa 2H1.1
Arsenal 2H1.1
Gillett averages 1.5 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Gillett averages 2.4 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Ollie Watkins (0.28 xG) is Aston Villa's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Viktor Gyokeres (0.29 xG) is Arsenal's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Aston Villa · 4 listed

Matty Cashsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Johan Manzambidoubt
1 · Calf
Matteo Ruggeriinjury
1 · Thigh
Amadou Onanainjury
1 · Knee

Arsenal · 4 listed

Max Dowmansuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Ezri Konsadoubt
1 · Other
William Salibadoubt
1 · Low back
Bukayo Sakainjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Aston Villa vs Arsenal (Premier League). Model call: Arsenal to win match full time (14% / 24% / 62%).

Arsenal holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Aston Villa 0.97 — 2 Arsenal. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Aston Villa. Aston Villa home form +0.49; Arsenal away form +0.81.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Matteo Ruggeri, Aston Villa's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Max Dowman, Arsenal's full-time chance creation is trimmed.